Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.997891e-05 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000066 0.000075
2025-02-16 2.518137e-05 0.000033 0.000042 0.000053 0.000066 0.000080 0.000098
2025-02-23 2.050884e-05 0.000029 0.000040 0.000053 0.000070 0.000089 0.000114
2025-03-02 1.543352e-05 0.000024 0.000035 0.000050 0.000069 0.000092 0.000121
2025-03-09 1.208140e-05 0.000020 0.000032 0.000048 0.000069 0.000095 0.000130
2025-03-16 9.687500e-06 0.000018 0.000029 0.000046 0.000069 0.000099 0.000139
2025-03-23 7.970747e-06 0.000016 0.000028 0.000046 0.000071 0.000104 0.000149
2025-03-30 6.456956e-06 0.000014 0.000026 0.000044 0.000071 0.000107 0.000157
2025-04-06 5.061567e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000042 0.000070 0.000109 0.000163
2025-04-13 3.698472e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000039 0.000068 0.000107 0.000164
2025-04-20 2.880840e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000038 0.000067 0.000109 0.000170
2025-04-27 2.389037e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000037 0.000068 0.000113 0.000179
2025-05-04 1.838480e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000037 0.000071 0.000119 0.000193
2025-05-11 1.717479e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000041 0.000078 0.000134 0.000220
2025-05-18 1.358868e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000041 0.000082 0.000143 0.000237
2025-05-25 8.548074e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000079 0.000143 0.000242
2025-06-01 5.534559e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000078 0.000145 0.000251
2025-06-08 3.605719e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000079 0.000148 0.000261
2025-06-15 2.392228e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000080 0.000153 0.000273
2025-06-22 1.454654e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000034 0.000080 0.000157 0.000284
2025-06-29 7.541057e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000032 0.000079 0.000158 0.000291
2025-07-06 2.737352e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000030 0.000075 0.000155 0.000292
2025-07-13 1.028235e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000028 0.000075 0.000157 0.000299